Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$20.9K
688 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 164 traders
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs10 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $95YES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+73.9%)
Whales
17
R
ronaldk🥇
Entry 53¢·1,552.1 shares
Invested
$829
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$723
+$723INV $829 · WR 71.7%
L
lamyk🥈
Entry 72¢·895.5 shares
Invested
$642
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $642 · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·991.6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$587
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$404
+$404INV $587 · WR 72.2%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 50¢·798 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$399
+$399INV $399 · WR 70.0%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 46¢·500 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$264
+$264INV $228 · WR 69.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 111¢·159.8 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $178 · WR 57.7%
A
Arman2
Entry 39¢·263.2 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $102 · WR 57.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 43¢·220 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $96 · WR 63.4%
E
ericliujt
Entry 43¢·100 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $43 · WR 56.3%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 185¢·16.5 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $30 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$156(-95.2%)
Whales
10
M
Mithrandir.🥇
Entry 45¢·100 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $45 · WR 69.8%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 67.1%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 38¢·100 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 56.1%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 136¢·15.6 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 67.4%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 43¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 57.3%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 1¢·464.2 shares·also $587 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 72.2%
A
agentcal
Entry 52¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.5%
E
easyautomate
Entry 8¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 8 of 10
Smart Whale Trades
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