Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$5.2K
347 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 113 traders
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs8 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $503 is directional: YES $323·NO $181YES Team
Total Invested
$865
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$770(+89.0%)
Whales
17
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥇
Entry 54¢·440 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$204
+$204INV $236 · WR 66.8%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·311.3 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $156 · WR 79.3%
X
xcaiox🥉
Entry 67¢·121.5 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $81 · WR 76.6%
O
openboard
Entry 58¢·120.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $70 · WR 58.3%
P
parameter1
Entry 54¢·112.8 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $61 · WR 61.7%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 68¢·78.1 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $53 · WR 74.1%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 50¢·92.7 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $46 · WR 69.6%
I
Invictus07
Entry 66¢·53 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $35 · WR 65.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 98¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $34 · WR 68.2%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 31¢·90.6 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $28 · WR 64.1%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$559
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$555(-99.2%)
Whales
8
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 31¢·590.8 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-181
$-181INV $181 · WR 56.0%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·360 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $151 · WR 63.6%
L
lamyk🥉hedged
Entry 109¢·120.5 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$132
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $132 · WR 56.8%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 47¢·90.6 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 64.1%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 120¢·20 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 74.1%
P
postmetahedged
Entry 128¢·14.5 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 83.5%
H
hithitfar
Entry 25¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 7 of 8
Smart Whale Trades
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