mkml · Polymarket wallet 0xf1f9…d09d

Wallet snapshot

mkml has made 83 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $281 in volume. Most of it is in tech (88%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 61%, lifetime P&L +$35. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Sep 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes · $4 · 59¢ → 73¢
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes · $1 · 81¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes · +$2 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$15 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · May 31, 2026

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