PoliticsResolved
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
YES Price
100Ā¢
100% implied
NO Price
0Ā¢
0% implied
Volume
$185.9K
2,269 trades
Smart Whales
133
of 403 traders Ā· 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
43 YESvs91 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars Ā· 13 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$7 of $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.6KĀ·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$55.5K
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$25.8K(+46.5%)
Whales
43
F
Flipadelphiaš„
Entry 86Ā¢Ā·35,255.5 shares
Invested
$30.2K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$5026
+$5026INV $30.2K Ā· WR 56.8%
F
flawfenceāProvenš„
Entry 40Ā¢Ā·12,987.2 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$7734
+$7734INV $5.3K Ā· WR 55.4%
B
BiDiFakePollsāProvenš„
Entry 52Ā¢Ā·7,138.7 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$3420
+$3420INV $3.7K Ā· WR 62.5%
A
almost-never
Entry 93Ā¢Ā·3,348.1 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$223
+$223INV $3.1K Ā· WR 73.0%
D
dzsibenaja
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·2,767.1 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $2.8K Ā· WR 87.9%
T
Tattered-Ephyrahedged
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·2,806.1 sharesĀ·also $3.8K on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$601
+$601INV $2.2K Ā· WR 58.4%
M
mrworldwidehedged
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·4,390.3 sharesĀ·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$2661
+$2661INV $1.7K Ā· WR 76.3%
M
manlets
Entry 75Ā¢Ā·1,926.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$481
+$481INV $1.4K Ā· WR 57.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 23Ā¢Ā·2,691.4 sharesĀ·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$626
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2066
+$2066INV $626 Ā· WR 55.3%
P
pagliacci4
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·594.9 shares
Invested
$594
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $594 Ā· WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 43
NO Team
Total Invested
$41.7K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$26.8K(-64.2%)
Whales
91
D
donthackmeš„
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·12,389.3 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6137
$-6137INV $6.1K Ā· WR 87.7%
T
Tattered-Ephyraš„hedged
Entry 159Ā¢Ā·2,397.9 sharesĀ·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-3821
$-3821INV $3.8K Ā· WR 58.4%
B
balthazarš„
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·5,182.7 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3034
$-3034INV $3.0K Ā· WR 72.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 188Ā¢Ā·1,491.7 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-2797
$-2797INV $2.8K Ā· WR 70.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·2,691.4 sharesĀ·also $626 on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2157
$-2157INV $2.2K Ā· WR 55.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 45Ā¢Ā·4,674.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2116
$-2116INV $2.1K Ā· WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 51Ā¢Ā·3,974.6 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2009
$-2009INV $2.0K Ā· WR 89.0%
M
mrworldwidehedged
Entry 98Ā¢Ā·1,969.4 sharesĀ·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1939
$-1939INV $1.9K Ā· WR 76.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 24Ā¢Ā·3,201.2 shares
Invested
$773
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-773
$-773INV $773 Ā· WR 85.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 47Ā¢Ā·1,330.1 shares
Invested
$623
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-623
$-623INV $623 Ā· WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 91
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