67 days left
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$17.3K
617 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 165 traders
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $55.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 59%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$246+5 new NO$182
$49 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $250 is directional: YES $193·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$249
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-8.7%)
Whales
4
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·626.4 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $191 · WR 62.9%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 796¢·6.6 shares·also $111 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $53 · WR 85.7%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 32¢·11 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.5%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 79.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$584
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+15.6%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 57¢·409.9 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $233 · WR 88.0%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·183.6 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$111
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $111 · WR 85.7%
A
0xa24d776f...🥉
Entry 39¢·231.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $90 · WR 87.7%
J
jcharger◆Proven
Entry 54¢·105 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $57 · WR 58.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 52¢·76.6 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $40 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 63¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 79.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 88.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 87.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 53¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 84.7%
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