Economics107 days left
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$19.5K
454 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 137 traders
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
9 MARKETS · $30.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
4¢−4¢$6580/4Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)−4¢4¢
$6580/4
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
4¢−4¢$7160/5Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)−4¢4¢
$7160/5
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
4¢+29¢$1941/2Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)+29¢4¢
$1941/2
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
4¢−4¢$4030/4Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)−4¢4¢
$4030/4
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
4¢−4¢$5180/6Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)−4¢4¢
$5180/6
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
10¢+10¢$4891/4Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)+10¢10¢
$4891/4
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)
14¢−3¢$7.9K1/8Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)−3¢14¢
$7.9K1/8
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs14 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$1.6K+6 new NO$1.0K
$119 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.1K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$249(+8.9%)
Whales
10
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 62¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$925
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $925 · WR 57.7%
B
browne🥈
Entry 43¢·1,665.2 shares
Invested
$723
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$218
+$218INV $723 · WR 75.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉
Entry 50¢·1,126.3 shares
Invested
$558
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $558 · WR 55.3%
S
Stained-Crossstitchhedged
Entry 53¢·800 shares·also $156 on NO
Invested
$426
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $426 · WR 87.5%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 77¢·100 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $77 · WR 79.2%
C
CopyMEyouwillwin
Entry 49¢·100 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $49 · WR 70.0%
A
Aggggaa12hedged
Entry 52¢·49.9 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 72.5%
S
stellarmanhedged
Entry 26¢·50 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $13 · WR 65.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 55¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 68.2%
O
Obirapitanga
Entry 59¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$95(-4.3%)
Whales
14
P
puravida🥇
Entry 40¢·2,262.6 shares
Invested
$895
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $895 · WR 59.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$651
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $651 · WR 77.6%
U
UntitledUser1🥉
Entry 57¢·411.4 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $233 · WR 64.9%
S
Stained-Crossstitchhedged
Entry 50¢·310 shares·also $426 on YES
Invested
$156
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $156 · WR 87.5%
A
Ahpo
Entry 51¢·201.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $102 · WR 92.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 42¢·100 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $42 · WR 84.8%
0
0x03fa21ea...
Entry 49¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $31 · WR 56.3%
A
Aggggaa12hedged
Entry 49¢·30.9 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 72.5%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast
Entry 81¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $15 · WR 83.4%
P
PABLOESCOBAR25
Entry 52¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 61.0%
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