Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$357.3K
4,570 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 543 traders
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
3 MARKETS · $377.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)←
100¢−77¢$357.3K18/59Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)←−77¢100¢
$357.3K18/59
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs59 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.2K is directional: YES $3.0K·NO $3.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$20.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$16.5K(+80.0%)
Whales
18
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 62¢·8,361.5 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3178
+$3178INV $5.2K · WR 72.2%
O
odsowner🥈
Entry 62¢·7,829.9 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$2967
+$2967INV $4.9K · WR 61.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 50¢·8,614.1 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$4307
+$4307INV $4.3K · WR 69.2%
S
soapbubbles
Entry 49¢·6,036 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3063
+$3063INV $3.0K · WR 66.7%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 39¢·3,584.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$2180
+$2180INV $1.4K · WR 66.1%
G
gambler925hedged
Entry 78¢·1,300.5 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$287
+$287INV $1.0K · WR 56.1%
H
heyhelloheyhedged
Entry 50¢·1,043.6 shares·also $440 on NO
Invested
$517
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $517 · WR 69.2%
S
Suet-Lam
Entry 44¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 61.6%
Showing top 8 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$22.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.0K(-90.3%)
Whales
59
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 34¢·17,603.9 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-5972
$-5972INV $6.0K · WR 77.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·6,051.4 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2959
$-2959INV $3.0K · WR 85.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 45¢·3,845.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1727
$-1727INV $1.7K · WR 85.8%
G
gambler925hedged
Entry 39¢·3,852.5 shares·also $1.0K on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1489
$-1489INV $1.5K · WR 56.1%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 34¢·4,317.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1479
$-1479INV $1.5K · WR 63.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 53¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-1060
$-1060INV $1.1K · WR 74.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 35¢·2,885 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1011
$-1011INV $1.0K · WR 87.7%
P
puravida
Entry 47¢·1,738.1 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-815
$-815INV $815 · WR 59.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 53¢·1,216.6 shares
Invested
$649
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-649
$-649INV $649 · WR 68.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 47¢·1,132.4 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-536
$-536INV $536 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 59
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