EconomicsResolved
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$193.8K
2,915 trades
Smart Whales
127
of 470 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
56 YESvs72 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $25.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $25.8K·NO $34YES Team
Total Invested
$79.2K
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$22.0K(+27.7%)
Whales
56
A
aviato🥇
Entry 100¢·16,781.5 shares
Invested
$16.7K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $16.7K · WR 91.3%
Q
QMG-CORE🥈
Entry 78¢·16,507.2 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$3691
+$3691INV $12.8K · WR 81.2%
F
firegold🥉
Entry 59¢·15,298.1 shares
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$6317
+$6317INV $9.0K · WR 59.7%
P
polmarke195
Entry 85¢·8,577.7 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$1252
+$1252INV $7.3K · WR 91.3%
C
charlatta
Entry 99¢·7,268.5 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $7.2K · WR 87.3%
T
taut-dogwood
Entry 99¢·4,262.6 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $4.2K · WR 95.7%
G
Giorgio2
Entry 66¢·6,028.8 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$2041
+$2041INV $4.0K · WR 74.0%
M
mpstire-lutuwar
Entry 100¢·3,000.1 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3.0K · WR 87.4%
T
TheRealWarMonger
Entry 96¢·2,463.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $2.4K · WR 81.5%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 50¢·4,600 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$2300
+$2300INV $2.3K · WR 90.9%
Showing top 10 of 56
NO Team
Total Invested
$40.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$25.3K(-62.9%)
Whales
72
V
vino1234🥇
Entry 35¢·20,672.5 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-7173
$-7173INV $7.2K · WR 61.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 43¢·14,184.6 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6069
$-6069INV $6.1K · WR 87.7%
J
Jjjh77660🥉hedged
Entry 103¢·4,029.9 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-4163
$-4163INV $4.2K · WR 67.6%
P
podairpod
Entry 147¢·2,476 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-3638
$-3638INV $3.6K · WR 60.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 99¢·2,932 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2901
$-2901INV $2.9K · WR 55.3%
K
korda77
Entry 15¢·5,094.2 shares
Invested
$789
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-789
$-789INV $789 · WR 85.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 9¢·3,291.7 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-304
$-304INV $304 · WR 85.9%
M
merod
Entry 7¢·2,724.3 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-192
$-192INV $192 · WR 84.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 2¢·3,785.3 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 79.6%
F
Flobodan
Entry 27¢·100 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 72
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