Politics3 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$14.4K
295 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 100 traders
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $94.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$321+16 new NO$805
$275 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $211 is directional: YES $153·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+9.4%)
Whales
6
S
StarMaster◆Proven🥇
Entry 25¢·500 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $123 · WR 55.4%
G
G.Hchen🥈
Entry 10¢·250 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $24 · WR 55.6%
E
e2021dc🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·50 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 82.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·42.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 79.4%
5
0x50ab40b1...
Entry 23¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 26¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$818
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$98(+11.9%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 75¢·375.1 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $280 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 81¢·282.5 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $228 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $135 · WR 88.8%
M
mantou11
Entry 76¢·62 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 56.2%
E
e2021dchedged
Entry 76¢·50 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $38 · WR 82.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 88¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 86.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 85¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $21 · WR 69.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 67¢·18 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 84.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·22 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 87.6%
T
timothymontoya
Entry 85¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
97.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 97.5%
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