Politics3 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$11.4K
278 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 97 traders
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $92.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs8 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$51+7 new NO$117
$66 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $160 is directional: YES $116·NO $44YES Team
Total Invested
$116
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+23.8%)
Whales
6
M
mantou11🥇
Entry 16¢·517.2 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $85 · WR 56.2%
G
G.Hchen🥈
Entry 14¢·125 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $17 · WR 55.6%
J
JPLP🥉
Entry 10¢·80 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 56.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·42.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 79.4%
C
coypu
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 74.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·11 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$763
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$93(+12.2%)
Whales
8
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 76¢·282.5 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $214 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 81¢·262.3 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $214 · WR 72.0%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 53¢·300 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $160 · WR 86.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 73¢·120 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $88 · WR 69.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 84¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $43 · WR 75.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 89.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 60¢·18 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 84.6%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.6%
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