Politics3 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$11.4K
317 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 97 traders
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $92.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$44+10 new NO$239
$65 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $211 is directional: YES $44·NO $167YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-4.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$880
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$108(+12.2%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 79¢·282.5 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $224 · WR 86.1%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 82¢·200 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $164 · WR 56.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 54¢·270 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $145 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 79¢·180 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $143 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 82¢·125.1 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $103 · WR 69.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $31 · WR 89.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 86.0%
I
Icy-Hedge-Shout
Entry 78¢·27 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 81.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 62¢·18 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 84.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·22 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $11 · WR 87.6%
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