48 days left

Will the D66–VVD–CDA Dutch coalition break in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

38¢

38% implied

NO Price

62¢

62% implied

Volume

$3.0K

149 trades

Smart Whales

of 81 traders

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs4 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 38¢

YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 38¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges

$1.1K

$704

+33 new YES · 6 smart whales+32 new NO · 4 smart whales

$268 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum

In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on NO

YES 1NO 4one dot = one wallet

1 wallet on YES

LeechLord$77

4 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 45h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $418 is directional: YES $135·NO $283

YES Team

Total Invested

$135

Avg Win Rate

64.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$18(-13.4%)

Whales

Gamboro🥇