8 days left
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$40.4K
1,591 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 292 traders · 1 on both sides
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
7 MARKETS · $131.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the November meeting
2¢+24¢$9.8K11/31by 50+ bps at the November meeting+24¢2¢
$9.8K11/31
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting
64¢−36¢$30.6K16/42Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting−36¢64¢
$30.6K16/42
by 25 bps at the November meeting←
31¢+6¢$40.4K22/38by 25 bps at the November meeting←+6¢31¢
$40.4K22/38
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs38 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+35 new YES$570+41 new NO$2.4K
$632 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$58 of $4.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.7K·NO $132YES Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-50.5%)
Whales
23
S
S4uron🥇
Entry 81¢·4,147.9 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-2268
$-2268INV $3.4K · WR 62.0%
D
dnaghsa🥈
Entry 25¢·3,729.6 shares
Invested
$934
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$204
+$204INV $934 · WR 55.8%
A
anonymoususer10🥉
Entry 72¢·1,234 shares
Invested
$894
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-567
$-567INV $894 · WR 65.2%
M
MonarchAssets
Entry 62¢·245.2 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $153 · WR 80.0%
G
galdrothx1
Entry 58¢·175.4 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $102 · WR 60.3%
F
firegold
Entry 55¢·175.1 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $96 · WR 59.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 52¢·175.1 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $91 · WR 75.5%
T
tinman2
Entry 73¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $37 · WR 66.5%
M
marcelomilq
Entry 73¢·47.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $34 · WR 61.9%
O
oneofthepplhedged
Entry 81¢·36 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $29 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+121.8%)
Whales
38
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 27¢·875.7 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $238 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 27¢·807.4 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $215 · WR 79.3%
N
newmasterroshi🥉
Entry 37¢·203.7 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $75 · WR 75.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 37¢·193.7 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $73 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 27¢·241.9 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $65 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 22¢·225 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $49 · WR 86.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 31¢·153.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $47 · WR 85.9%
O
oneofthepplhedged
Entry 42¢·110 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $46 · WR 63.1%
J
johnashbough
Entry 46¢·81.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $37 · WR 55.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 25¢·136.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $35 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 38
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