62 days left
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$7.6K
402 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 126 traders
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
7 MARKETS · $42.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the November meeting
91¢−53¢$12.8K13/21by 25 bps at the November meeting−53¢91¢
$12.8K13/21
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting
15¢+4¢$8.7K4/17Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting+4¢15¢
$8.7K4/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs13 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$121+6 new NO$117
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $84 is directional: YES $84·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$509
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$30(-5.8%)
Whales
5
C
CAQZeroSeats◆Proven🥇
Entry 48¢·403.5 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $193 · WR 63.6%
N
newmasterroshi🥈
Entry 79¢·176.1 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $139 · WR 78.3%
V
vieuxtemps🥉
Entry 55¢·152.2 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $84 · WR 58.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 55¢·151.9 shares·also $78 on NO
Invested
$83
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $83 · WR 55.2%
Y
Yellowish-Soil
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 84.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$413
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+2.3%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 42¢·400 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $168 · WR 72.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·151.9 shares·also $83 on YES
Invested
$78
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $78 · WR 55.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·76.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $38 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 45¢·70 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 79.1%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 41¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 59.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 41¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 56.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 66.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 48¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 88.2%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 62.4%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 59.7%
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