YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$17.0K
157 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 66 traders
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
8 MARKETS · $25.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more
5¢+3¢$1.3K1/12Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more+3¢5¢
$1.3K1/12
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T
4¢+6¢$1.6K1/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T+6¢4¢
$1.6K1/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B
5¢+13¢$4642/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B+13¢5¢
$4642/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B
10¢+23¢$5634/8Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B+23¢10¢
$5634/8
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B
21¢+4¢$7413/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B+4¢21¢
$7413/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B
45¢−31¢$2.0K2/12Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B−31¢45¢
$2.0K2/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs13 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$11
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $163 is directional: YES $30·NO $133YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-85.6%)
Whales
5
T
TerranSupremacy🥇
Entry 42¢·40 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 67.3%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRoll🥈
Entry 30¢·27.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.7%
C
CompulsiveGambler🥉
Entry 4¢·100 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 68.4%
I
IrthBirth
Entry 25¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$277
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$99(+35.8%)
Whales
13
T
tinman2🥇
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $96 · WR 66.2%
X
x26◆Proven🥈
Entry 83¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $35 · WR 77.7%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 95¢·32.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 69.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 88.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 91¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 85.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 42¢·50 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $21 · WR 72.0%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 92¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 84.5%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 20¢·62 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $12 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 89.2%
P
PollyForge
Entry 82¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 84.8%
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