YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$1.6K
120 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 58 traders
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more
4¢+3¢$1.2K1/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more+3¢4¢
$1.2K1/13
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T
4¢+4¢$1.6K1/11Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T+4¢4¢
$1.6K1/11
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B
5¢+12¢$4542/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B+12¢5¢
$4542/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B
10¢+21¢$5514/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B+21¢10¢
$5514/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B
21¢+2¢$7253/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B+2¢21¢
$7253/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B
45¢−32¢$2.0K2/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B−32¢45¢
$2.0K2/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $82 is directional: YES $6·NO $76YES Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$39(-69.7%)
Whales
4
Z
zeekay🥇
Entry 79¢·61.4 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $48 · WR 58.8%
A
Arid-Pagoda🥈
Entry 14¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 69.0%
F
ffsFsfq🥉
Entry 28¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 66.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 10¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$110(+45.6%)
Whales
15
C
CompulsiveGambler🥇
Entry 80¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $62 · WR 68.3%
M
Majas🥈
Entry 68¢·57.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $39 · WR 67.4%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 75¢·33 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 69.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 93¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $24 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 93¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $24 · WR 84.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 75¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 89.0%
B
bulbnbob
Entry 72¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 68.1%
L
Large-Alteration
Entry 125¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 57.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 86.0%
P
PollyForge
Entry 80¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 84.8%
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