YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$2.0K
132 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 58 traders
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more
4¢+3¢$1.2K1/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more+3¢4¢
$1.2K1/13
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T
4¢+4¢$1.6K1/11Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T+4¢4¢
$1.6K1/11
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B
5¢+12¢$4542/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B+12¢5¢
$4542/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B
10¢+21¢$5514/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B+21¢10¢
$5514/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B
21¢+2¢$7253/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B+2¢21¢
$7253/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B←
45¢−32¢$2.0K2/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B←−32¢45¢
$2.0K2/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $76 is directional: YES $0·NO $76YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
89.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+233.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$231
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$81(+35.4%)
Whales
13
B
bulbnbob🥇
Entry 73¢·102.6 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $75 · WR 68.1%
H
home-feng🥈hedged
Entry 55¢·99.7 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
97.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $55 · WR 97.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 74¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $37 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 54¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 86.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 46¢·33 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 69.2%
P
pollerer
Entry 13¢·99.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
96.4%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $13 · WR 96.4%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 21¢·25 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $5 · WR 85.7%
P
PollyForge
Entry 64¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 84.8%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 5¢·62 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $3 · WR 87.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 11¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $3 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
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