YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.6K
108 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 40 traders
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
8 MARKETS · $25.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more
4¢+3¢$1.2K1/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more+3¢4¢
$1.2K1/13
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T←
4¢+4¢$1.6K1/11Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T←+4¢4¢
$1.6K1/11
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B
5¢+12¢$4542/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B+12¢5¢
$4542/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B
10¢+21¢$5514/9Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B+21¢10¢
$5514/9
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B
21¢+2¢$7253/10Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B+2¢21¢
$7253/10
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B
45¢−32¢$2.0K2/13Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B−32¢45¢
$2.0K2/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22 is directional: YES $0·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-21.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$144
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$115(+79.9%)
Whales
11
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 98¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $32 · WR 69.2%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 97¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 89.3%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥉
Entry 97¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 97¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 84.9%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 92¢·23.9 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 68.3%
E
0xe6bd5847...
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 89.1%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 5¢·62 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $3 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $3 · WR 72.2%
L
Large-Alteration
Entry 12¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 57.9%
N
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses
Entry 9¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 85.8%
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