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8 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$2.8K
107 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 58 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

3 MARKETS · $9.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$880+9 new NO$368
$94 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $72 is directional: YES $10·NO $62
YES Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+3.9%)
Whales
5
S
StarMaster🥇hedged
Entry 47¢·100 shares·also $8 on NO
+$7INV $47 · WR 55.3%
J
just-bettor🥈
Entry 64¢·60.9 shares
$-6INV $39 · WR 57.1%
H
hitunfar🥉
Entry 50¢·38 shares
+$2INV $19 · WR 59.8%
6
0x6fa70d26...Proven
Entry 50¢·20 shares
+$1INV $10 · WR 90.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 23¢·1.4 shares·also $0 on NO
+$0INV $0 · WR 68.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…