111 days left
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$17.0K
767 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 188 traders
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
7 MARKETS · $36.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%←
58¢−29¢$17.0K7/17Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%←−29¢58¢
$17.0K7/17
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%
2¢+19¢$1.7K3/11Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%+19¢2¢
$1.7K3/11
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%
8¢+5¢$1.4K2/14Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%+5¢8¢
$1.4K2/14
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%
8¢−2¢$2.6K1/16Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%−2¢8¢
$2.6K1/16
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%
11¢+5¢$2.7K3/16Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%+5¢11¢
$2.7K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs17 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 68%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$234+3 new NO$126
$64 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $438YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-5.0%)
Whales
8
N
notlosecrypto🥇
Entry 65¢·1,566.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·610.1 shares·also $294 on NO
Invested
$454
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $454 · WR 56.4%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 67¢·50.9 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 67.4%
T
tinman2
Entry 66¢·50 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $33 · WR 65.9%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 60¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $24 · WR 60.5%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 39¢·39.1 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $15 · WR 71.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 16¢·48 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $8 · WR 66.8%
C
coldhot
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3 · WR 72.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$159(-13.8%)
Whales
17
V
Vagabund97🥇
Entry 29¢·1,419.5 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $405 · WR 66.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 189¢·155.4 shares·also $454 on YES
Invested
$294
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-229
$-229INV $294 · WR 56.4%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 72¢·240.8 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $173 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 72¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $64 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 94¢·60.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $56 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 26¢·143.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $37 · WR 86.0%
I
Invictus07
Entry 58¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $31 · WR 65.1%
M
merod
Entry 46¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $24 · WR 84.1%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 55¢·39.1 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $22 · WR 71.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 87.7%
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