101 days left
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$19.5K
939 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 223 traders · 1 on both sides
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
7 MARKETS · $42.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%←
35¢+3¢$19.5K10/16Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%←+3¢35¢
$19.5K10/16
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%
2¢+25¢$1.9K3/8Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%+25¢2¢
$1.9K3/8
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%
6¢+14¢$1.7K3/12Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%+14¢6¢
$1.7K3/12
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%
5¢+7¢$4.6K2/15Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%+7¢5¢
$4.6K2/15
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%
16¢+17¢$3.2K6/12Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%+17¢16¢
$3.2K6/12
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Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs16 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$310+11 new NO$383
$241 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$117 of $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $784YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$698(-43.0%)
Whales
10
N
notlosecrypto🥇
Entry 65¢·1,566.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-431
$-431INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·610.1 shares·also $294 on NO
Invested
$454
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $454 · WR 56.4%
H
HDGB🥉hedged
Entry 58¢·100.3 shares·also $182 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $58 · WR 83.5%
T
tinman2
Entry 67¢·50 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $34 · WR 66.3%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 60¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $24 · WR 60.8%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 39¢·39.1 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 67.0%
S
shiwu666666hedged
Entry 26¢·48.1 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 72.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 17¢·48 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $8 · WR 66.6%
C
coldhot
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 72.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 2¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 79.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$451(+29.7%)
Whales
16
V
Vagabund97🥇
Entry 35¢·1,780.5 shares
Invested
$630
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$487
+$487INV $630 · WR 66.5%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 189¢·155.4 shares·also $454 on YES
Invested
$294
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-193
$-193INV $294 · WR 56.4%
H
HDGB🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·424 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$182
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $182 · WR 83.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 72¢·240.8 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $173 · WR 88.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 72¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $64 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 26¢·143.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $37 · WR 86.1%
S
shiwu666666hedged
Entry 63¢·53.2 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 72.2%
I
Invictus07
Entry 58¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $31 · WR 65.1%
M
merod
Entry 46¢·52.5 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $24 · WR 84.1%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 55¢·39.1 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $22 · WR 67.0%
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