101 days left
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.5K
110 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 43 traders
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
7 MARKETS · $43.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%
37¢+1¢$20.2K10/16Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%+1¢37¢
$20.2K10/16
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%
2¢+25¢$1.9K3/8Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%+25¢2¢
$1.9K3/8
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%
6¢+14¢$1.7K3/12Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%+14¢6¢
$1.7K3/12
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%
2¢+10¢$5.1K2/15Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%+10¢2¢
$5.1K2/15
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%
16¢+17¢$3.2K6/12Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%+17¢16¢
$3.2K6/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$1+2 new NO$19
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $34 is directional: YES $12·NO $21YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-78.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$397
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$276(+69.5%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 100¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $89 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $85 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·86 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $43 · WR 89.0%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·72.5 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $36 · WR 84.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·69.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $35 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·43 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $21 · WR 85.3%
I
Invictus07
Entry 58¢·36.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $21 · WR 65.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $16 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 363ms