Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$153.9K
1,921 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 462 traders
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs46 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16.5K is directional: YES $16.5K·NO $44YES Team
Total Invested
$38.3K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.6K(+32.9%)
Whales
44
Q
QMG-CORE🥇
Entry 62¢·27,120.4 shares
Invested
$16.9K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$9995
+$9995INV $16.9K · WR 81.2%
C
Cupzey🥈
Entry 100¢·13,517.8 shares
Invested
$13.5K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13.5K · WR 61.1%
K
knrad◆Proven🥉
Entry 70¢·3,193.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$932
+$932INV $2.2K · WR 77.1%
U
Untidy-Examination
Entry 100¢·999 shares
Invested
$997
Win Rate
95.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $997 · WR 95.9%
D
Donny.T
Entry 88¢·1,019 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $900 · WR 73.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 89¢·495.3 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$443
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $443 · WR 57.7%
R
Renan2030hedged
Entry 86¢·468.5 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$404
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $404 · WR 77.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 99¢·359.2 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $357 · WR 68.2%
G
G.laila
Entry 92¢·300 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $276 · WR 69.5%
G
galdrothx1
Entry 90¢·222.2 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $201 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-62.3%)
Whales
46
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 5¢·19,696.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-846
$-846INV $1.0K · WR 63.4%
2
2KTrade🥈hedged
Entry 105¢·500 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$525
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-520
$-520INV $525 · WR 81.0%
M
mfrancodec🥉
Entry 20¢·2,166 shares
Invested
$427
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-406
$-406INV $427 · WR 83.1%
B
Binotto
Entry 6¢·6,264.8 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-338
$-338INV $398 · WR 66.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 13¢·1,135.4 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $148 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 18¢·632.6 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $111 · WR 72.2%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 15¢·661.5 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $97 · WR 60.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 5¢·1,669.8 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $89 · WR 84.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 18¢·498.3 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $88 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 12¢·687.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $85 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 46
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