Geopolitics111 days left
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$25.0K
983 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 160 traders
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
4 MARKETS · $452.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October
1¢+27¢$27.9K13/34Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October+27¢1¢
$27.9K13/34
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November
5¢+15¢$12.5K7/28Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November+15¢5¢
$12.5K7/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs32 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%
+2 new YES$7+1 new NO$30
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $184 is directional: YES $121·NO $62YES Team
Total Invested
$431
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$252(-58.4%)
Whales
9
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·299 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $263 · WR 57.2%
A
AlphaGooo🥈
Entry 14¢·350 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $47 · WR 61.9%
R
RememberAmalek🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·726.4 shares·also $3.1K on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $47 · WR 64.4%
P
Porx
Entry 7¢·490.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 65.9%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 6¢·230 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 60.8%
E
Eminent-Parade
Entry 10¢·124.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 56.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 5¢·131 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 65.1%
F
Fruitful-Childhood
Entry 12¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 63.6%
T
Te0n2
Entry 7¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+29.8%)
Whales
32
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·3,787.4 shares·also $47 on YES
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$386
+$386INV $3.1K · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 72¢·1,212.1 shares
Invested
$868
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$252
+$252INV $868 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 80¢·820.6 shares
Invested
$653
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $653 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·960.9 shares
Invested
$491
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$397
+$397INV $491 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 59¢·587.9 shares
Invested
$347
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $347 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 86¢·365 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $313 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·255 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $224 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 43¢·480 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $208 · WR 85.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 91¢·150 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $137 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 86¢·130 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $112 · WR 87.7%
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