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GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$19.7K
249 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 111 traders · 1 on both sides

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

16 MARKETS · $171.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs3 NO
82%18%
82% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.7K·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$12.0K
Avg Win Rate
89.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.5K(+78.9%)
Whales
14
B
Bromley86Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·18,673.2 shares
+$9337INV $9.3K · WR 90.7%
F
Feracios🥈
Entry 100¢·1,693 shares
—INV $1.7K · WR 86.7%
G
Gleeful-Intervention🥉
Entry 99¢·423.6 shares
+$5INV $418 · WR 61.4%
C
Calculating-Undershirt
Entry 97¢·187.9 shares
+$6INV $182 · WR 100.0%
B
Benuptoshenanigns
Entry 94¢·150.3 shares
+$8INV $142 · WR 86.4%
G
Gambler665
Entry 94¢·77.7 shares
+$5INV $73 · WR 87.9%
G
goodman-1
Entry 96¢·67.2 shares
+$3INV $64 · WR 79.4%
D
DumbOracle
Entry 83¢·65 shares
+$11INV $54 · WR 73.3%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 92¢·27.1 shares
+$2INV $25 · WR 67.3%
S
spiderxyz
Entry 85¢·15 shares
+$2INV $13 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 82% YES: Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026