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GeopoliticsResolved1 days left

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$75.9K
394 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 114 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

20 MARKETS · $80.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

19 YESvs9 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$8.8K+48 new NO$287
$249 of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.3K is directional: YES $4.3K·NO $18
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$365(+8.3%)
Whales
19
B
Bromley86Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·1,908.5 shares
+$1INV $1.9K · WR 90.8%
F
Feracios🥈
Entry 100¢·1,702.1 shares
+$2INV $1.7K · WR 86.5%
D
dsjkfbc🥉
Entry 94¢·340.7 shares
+$20INV $320 · WR 64.6%
B
black4562
Entry 94¢·159.6 shares
+$9INV $150 · WR 62.7%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 92¢·124.9 shares
+$10INV $115 · WR 64.7%
D
Dafri220286
Entry 88¢·68.1 shares
+$8INV $60 · WR 90.0%
G
Gleeful-Interventionhedged
Entry 67¢·72.3 shares·also $15 on NO
+$24INV $49 · WR 56.8%
V
VechnoMolodoyyhedged
Entry 9¢·165 shares·also $154 on NO
+$150INV $15 · WR 63.0%
A
ale55io
Entry 89¢·17 shares
+$2INV $15 · WR 65.0%
K
Kvasir
Entry 94¢·15 shares
+$1INV $14 · WR 83.3%
Showing top 10 of 19

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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