PoliticsResolved
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$117.7K
1,931 trades
Smart Whales
113
of 434 traders
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs92 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-91.5%)
Whales
21
D
defillama7◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·4,806.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-1276
$-1276INV $1.3K · WR 68.5%
F
FMANTENNA🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·4,665.8 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$745
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-745
$-745INV $745 · WR 61.1%
P
panitom🥉
Entry 14¢·2,343.3 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-339
$-339INV $339 · WR 67.4%
L
Lexington◆Proven
Entry 11¢·2,457.1 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-262
$-262INV $262 · WR 67.4%
F
FOW
Entry 16¢·1,517.4 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $249 · WR 56.1%
F
flawfencehedged
Entry 37¢·492.6 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-184
$-184INV $184 · WR 55.4%
J
jofo
Entry 22¢·800 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-176
$-176INV $176 · WR 61.7%
M
mirand◆Proven
Entry 27¢·499 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $135 · WR 67.1%
M
mountaindewd
Entry 24¢·500 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 56.3%
P
parfaitparfait
Entry 20¢·588.8 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $117 · WR 57.5%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$31.4K
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.1K(+13.1%)
Whales
92
I
i18z🥇
Entry 91¢·7,374.5 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$631
+$631INV $6.7K · WR 87.1%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 75¢·5,865.2 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1478
+$1478INV $4.4K · WR 85.8%
S
Subdued-Pasta◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·2,965.6 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $3.0K · WR 85.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 87¢·2,559.5 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$337
+$337INV $2.2K · WR 72.2%
F
flawfencehedged
Entry 92¢·2,285.1 shares·also $184 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $2.1K · WR 55.4%
V
vinii
Entry 98¢·1,703.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $1.7K · WR 65.8%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 85¢·1,685.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $1.4K · WR 86.7%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 93¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $1.2K · WR 62.5%
F
FMANTENNAhedged
Entry 76¢·1,455 shares·also $745 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$352
+$352INV $1.1K · WR 61.1%
K
korda77
Entry 85¢·1,179.2 shares
Invested
$998
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $998 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 92
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