PoliticsResolved
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$130.6K
2,199 trades
Smart Whales
159
of 635 traders
Smart Money Consensus
95 YESvs64 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$18.9K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+7.9%)
Whales
95
F
flawfence◆Proven🥇
Entry 96¢·4,079.7 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $3.9K · WR 55.4%
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥈
Entry 89¢·4,191.9 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$454
+$454INV $3.7K · WR 65.0%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 99¢·3,019.6 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $3.0K · WR 65.8%
N
nicdan
Entry 94¢·1,595.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $1.5K · WR 91.6%
M
mm4ker
Entry 90¢·1,422.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $1.3K · WR 69.7%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 94¢·609.4 shares
Invested
$572
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $572 · WR 62.5%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven
Entry 78¢·620 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $486 · WR 76.3%
L
Lexingtonhedged
Entry 87¢·436.5 shares·also $294 on NO
Invested
$378
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $378 · WR 67.4%
C
ClementQC
Entry 99¢·323.4 shares
Invested
$320
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $320 · WR 77.3%
G
Gluedhedged
Entry 33¢·513 shares·also $403 on NO
Invested
$168
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $168 · WR 56.2%
Showing top 10 of 95
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-86.8%)
Whales
64
P
panitom🥇
Entry 20¢·7,249.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1457
$-1457INV $1.5K · WR 67.4%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 24¢·5,363.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1275
$-1275INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
D
defillama7◆Proven🥉
Entry 26¢·3,479.5 shares
Invested
$905
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-905
$-905INV $905 · WR 68.5%
I
i18z
Entry 9¢·5,917.9 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-506
$-506INV $506 · WR 87.1%
G
Gluedhedged
Entry 78¢·516 shares·also $168 on YES
Invested
$403
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-403
$-403INV $403 · WR 56.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 12¢·2,537.4 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-306
$-306INV $306 · WR 72.2%
L
Lexingtonhedged
Entry 13¢·2,295.8 shares·also $378 on YES
Invested
$294
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-294
$-294INV $294 · WR 67.4%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 16¢·1,736.9 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-284
$-284INV $284 · WR 86.7%
K
korda77
Entry 15¢·1,179.2 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-176
$-176INV $176 · WR 85.2%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 9¢·1,753.7 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-158
$-158INV $158 · WR 63.4%
Showing top 10 of 64
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