Resolved

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$272.9K
4,968 trades
Smart Whales
200
of 944 traders · 1 on both sides

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

2 MARKETS · $1.09M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

55 YESvs146 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 39 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $76·NO $990

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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