Tech/AIResolved
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$61.6K
1,011 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 256 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs47 NO
18%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $5.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $26·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$928(-82.2%)
Whales
10
C
Coordinated-Leather🥇hedged
Entry 117¢·358.4 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$420
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-420
$-420INV $420 · WR 80.0%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·426.2 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$409
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-409
$-409INV $409 · WR 56.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·700 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 57.7%
D
Dragontreehedged
Entry 11¢·305 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 67.4%
S
salmongolf
Entry 13¢·156.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 · WR 60.0%
E
Edible-Variation
Entry 7¢·71.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 72.2%
B
bmtrhedged
Entry 1¢·98.7 shares·also $769 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.5%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.8K
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.9K(+45.2%)
Whales
47
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥇
Entry 54¢·8,454.4 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$3892
+$3892INV $4.6K · WR 70.0%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 68¢·3,786.2 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1210
+$1210INV $2.6K · WR 65.8%
D
Dragontree🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·1,535 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $1.4K · WR 67.4%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 91¢·1,342.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $1.2K · WR 90.9%
H
Hakei.
Entry 53¢·2,199.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1025
+$1025INV $1.2K · WR 71.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92¢·1,093.1 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $1.0K · WR 57.7%
L
L1quid
Entry 50¢·1,600 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$800
+$800INV $800 · WR 61.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 93¢·832.9 shares
Invested
$777
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $777 · WR 69.8%
B
bmtrhedged
Entry 90¢·856.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$769
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $769 · WR 63.5%
P
PiMaak
Entry 91¢·719.4 shares
Invested
$657
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $657 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 47
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