143 days left

Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

49¢

49% implied

NO Price

51¢

51% implied

Volume

$2.7K

102 trades

Smart Whales

of 46 traders · 1 on both sides

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

29 MARKETS · $28.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Alejandro González Iñárritu

11¢+39¢$6421/1

Alejandro González Iñárritu+39¢11¢

Christopher Miller+40¢10¢

$1.8K3/3

Christopher Nolan

90¢−19¢$2.0K5/2

Christopher Nolan−19¢90¢

$2.0K5/2

Cristian Mungiu

20¢+47¢$1.6K2/1

Cristian Mungiu+47¢20¢

Denis Villeneuve+30¢50¢

Janus Metz Pedersen−5¢5¢

$6070/2

Javier Ambrossi

83¢+17¢$6031/0

Javier Ambrossi+17¢83¢

Martin McDonagh−37¢70¢

Nathan Fielder+25¢55¢

Paweł Pawlikowski+40¢10¢

$4351/1

Peter Farrelly

13¢−13¢$2270/1

Peter Farrelly−13¢13¢

Ryusuke Hamaguchi+71¢29¢

$1.2K1/0

Steven Spielberg

4¢+46¢$1.3K1/1

Steven Spielberg+46¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges

+4 new YES$46+7 new NO$123

$41 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$56 of $342 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $48·NO $237

YES Team

Total Invested

$76

Avg Win Rate

57.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-0.3%)

Whales

title1🥇hedged

Entry 49¢·88 shares·also $28 on NO

$-0INV $43 · WR 55.3%

$-0INV $33 · WR 60.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$266

Avg Win Rate

61.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$23(+8.7%)

Whales

QR1🥇

Entry 47¢·496.3 shares

+$21INV $233 · WR 61.6%

title1🥈hedged

Entry 47¢·60.1 shares·also $43 on YES

+$2INV $28 · WR 55.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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