143 days left

Will Beth de Araujo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$911

35 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 19 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

29 MARKETS · $28.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

4¢−4¢$2230/1

Aaron Sorkin−4¢4¢

Alejandro González Iñárritu

11¢+39¢$6421/1

Alejandro González Iñárritu+39¢11¢

6¢−6¢$1610/1

Andrew Haigh−6¢6¢

5¢−5¢$2.0K0/2

Ben Affleck−5¢5¢

Beth de Araujo←

6¢+19¢$9111/3

Beth de Araujo←+19¢6¢

Christopher Miller

10¢+40¢$1.8K3/3

Christopher Miller+40¢10¢

Christopher Nolan

90¢−19¢$2.0K5/2

Christopher Nolan−19¢90¢

Cristian Mungiu

20¢+47¢$1.6K2/1

Cristian Mungiu+47¢20¢

10¢+90¢$1231/0

Curry Barker+90¢10¢

6¢−6¢$6900/2

Danny Boyle−6¢6¢

8¢−8¢$1200/1

David Fincher−8¢8¢

Denis Villeneuve

50¢+30¢$6144/1

Denis Villeneuve+30¢50¢

3¢−3¢$4270/2

James Ashcroft−3¢3¢

Janus Metz Pedersen

5¢−5¢$6070/2

Janus Metz Pedersen−5¢5¢

Javier Ambrossi

83¢+17¢$6031/0

Javier Ambrossi+17¢83¢

88¢−38¢$6461/1

Javier Calvo−38¢88¢

Jesse Eisenberg

Jesse Eisenberg—28¢

4¢−4¢$4360/1

Joel Coen−4¢4¢

Martin McDonagh

70¢−37¢$1.5K1/2

Martin McDonagh−37¢70¢

2¢−2¢$4680/1

Mike Leigh−2¢2¢

6¢+44¢$1.0K2/2

Na Hong-jin+44¢6¢

55¢+25¢$3.1K4/1

Nathan Fielder+25¢55¢

49¢+1¢$2.7K2/2

Olivia Wilde+1¢49¢

Paweł Pawlikowski

10¢+40¢$4351/1

Paweł Pawlikowski+40¢10¢

12¢−12¢$2270/1

Peter Farrelly−12¢12¢

9¢+41¢$1.7K2/2

Phil Lord+41¢9¢

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

29¢+71¢$1.2K1/0

Ryusuke Hamaguchi+71¢29¢

Steven Spielberg

4¢+46¢$1.3K1/1

Steven Spielberg+46¢4¢

6¢+44¢$5891/1

Tony Gilroy+44¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $165 is directional: YES $0·NO $165

YES Team

Total Invested

$283

Avg Win Rate

58.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$265(-93.5%)

Whales

1

Entry 85¢·334 shares

$-265INV $283 · WR 58.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$165

Avg Win Rate

65.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$6(+3.4%)

Whales

3

Entry 90¢·80 shares

+$3INV $72 · WR 74.9%

title1Proven🥈

Entry 93¢·60 shares

+$1INV $56 · WR 55.3%

SpectrumProven🥉

Entry 91¢·41 shares

+$1INV $37 · WR 60.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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