143 days left

Will Cristian Mungiu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$1.6K

64 trades

Smart Whales

3

of 30 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

29 MARKETS · $28.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

4¢−4¢$2230/1

Aaron Sorkin−4¢4¢

Alejandro González Iñárritu

11¢+39¢$6421/1

Alejandro González Iñárritu+39¢11¢

6¢−6¢$1610/1

Andrew Haigh−6¢6¢

5¢−5¢$2.0K0/2

Ben Affleck−5¢5¢

6¢+19¢$9111/3

Beth de Araujo+19¢6¢

Christopher Miller

10¢+40¢$1.8K3/3

Christopher Miller+40¢10¢

Christopher Nolan

90¢−19¢$2.0K5/2

Christopher Nolan−19¢90¢

Cristian Mungiu←

20¢+47¢$1.6K2/1

Cristian Mungiu←+47¢20¢

10¢+90¢$1231/0

Curry Barker+90¢10¢

6¢−6¢$6900/2

Danny Boyle−6¢6¢

8¢−8¢$1200/1

David Fincher−8¢8¢

Denis Villeneuve

50¢+30¢$6144/1

Denis Villeneuve+30¢50¢

3¢−3¢$4270/2

James Ashcroft−3¢3¢

Janus Metz Pedersen

5¢−5¢$6070/2

Janus Metz Pedersen−5¢5¢

Javier Ambrossi

83¢+17¢$6031/0

Javier Ambrossi+17¢83¢

88¢−38¢$6461/1

Javier Calvo−38¢88¢

Jesse Eisenberg

Jesse Eisenberg—28¢

4¢−4¢$4360/1

Joel Coen−4¢4¢

Martin McDonagh

70¢−37¢$1.5K1/2

Martin McDonagh−37¢70¢

2¢−2¢$4680/1

Mike Leigh−2¢2¢

6¢+44¢$1.0K2/2

Na Hong-jin+44¢6¢

55¢+25¢$3.1K4/1

Nathan Fielder+25¢55¢

49¢+1¢$2.7K2/2

Olivia Wilde+1¢49¢

Paweł Pawlikowski

10¢+40¢$4351/1

Paweł Pawlikowski+40¢10¢

12¢−12¢$2270/1

Peter Farrelly−12¢12¢

9¢+41¢$1.7K2/2

Phil Lord+41¢9¢

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

29¢+71¢$1.2K1/0

Ryusuke Hamaguchi+71¢29¢

Steven Spielberg

4¢+46¢$1.3K1/1

Steven Spielberg+46¢4¢

6¢+44¢$5891/1

Tony Gilroy+44¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs1 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$48+1 new NO$16

$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $195 is directional: YES $6·NO $188

YES Team

Total Invested

$53

Avg Win Rate

73.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$26(-48.9%)

Whales

2

Entry 45¢·103.3 shares

$-26INV $47 · WR 74.9%

SpectrumProven🥈

Entry 20¢·31.5 shares

+$0INV $6 · WR 60.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$188

Avg Win Rate

57.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$15(+7.9%)

Whales

1

jimmer-fredette🥇

Entry 74¢·255.6 shares

+$15INV $188 · WR 57.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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