YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$16.5K
474 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 161 traders
October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
4 MARKETS · $26.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record←
94¢−59¢$16.5K6/11Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record←−59¢94¢
$16.5K6/11
Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record
0¢+9¢$1.7K1/10Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record+9¢0¢
$1.7K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs15 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$895+7 new NO$57
$78 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $2.0K·NO $221YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$238(+11.9%)
Whales
6
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 82¢·2,413.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $2.0K · WR 67.4%
C
CryptoComic007🥈
Entry 7¢·90 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $6 · WR 55.0%
B
balerinacapuchina🥉
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 70.5%
E
ethhdor
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1 · WR 58.5%
R
rher
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1 · WR 67.3%
L
luciebot
Entry 26¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 82.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$306
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-11.5%)
Whales
15
M
Mandalorec🥇
Entry 13¢·1,598 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $212 · WR 60.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 12¢·253.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $30 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 9¢·125 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 85.7%
P
Petty-Stacking
Entry 33¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 55.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 5¢·165.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 11¢·63.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 10¢·68 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 72.2%
A
akla27
Entry 7¢·76.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 84.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 10¢·53 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 89.3%
L
lin20261
Entry 7¢·72.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1055ms