YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$7.4K
268 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 90 traders
October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
4 MARKETS · $26.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record
94¢−59¢$16.5K6/11Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record−59¢94¢
$16.5K6/11
Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record
0¢+9¢$1.7K1/10Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record+9¢0¢
$1.7K1/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs20 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$45+2 new NO$418
$21 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $174 is directional: YES $0·NO $174YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$687(+65.1%)
Whales
20
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 55¢·331.8 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $182 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 52¢·338.1 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $175 · WR 87.7%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥉
Entry 87¢·201 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $174 · WR 67.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 89¢·116 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $103 · WR 72.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 88¢·104.6 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $92 · WR 82.9%
A
akla27
Entry 50¢·153.7 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $77 · WR 84.6%
L
lin20261
Entry 50¢·145.6 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $73 · WR 85.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 75.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $33 · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 83¢·35 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $29 · WR 79.2%
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