47 days left

Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$1.3K

56 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 37 traders

October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

4 MARKETS · $26.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record

94¢−59¢$16.5K6/11

Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record−59¢94¢

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record

0¢+9¢$1.7K1/10

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record+9¢0¢

Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record

4¢−4¢$7.4K0/14

Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record−4¢4¢

Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record←

0¢+14¢$1.3K1/6

Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record←+14¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs11 NO

8%92%

92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%

+3 new YES$2+1 new NO$14

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$11

Avg Win Rate

82.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$11(-97.8%)

Whales

1

Entry 25¢·44.9 shares

$-11INV $11 · WR 82.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$267

Avg Win Rate

84.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$781(+292.1%)

Whales

11

Entry 50¢·204.4 shares

+$102INV $102 · WR 87.7%

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Entry 50¢·150 shares

+$75INV $75 · WR 86.0%

Entry 50¢·89.2 shares

+$44INV $45 · WR 79.2%

Entry 50¢·70 shares

+$35INV $35 · WR 79.6%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$10INV $10 · WR 88.7%

Entry 0¢·153.7 shares

+$153INV $0 · WR 84.6%

Entry 0¢·145.6 shares

+$145INV $0 · WR 85.7%

Entry 0¢·106 shares

+$106INV $0 · WR 89.3%

Entry 0¢·80 shares

+$80INV $0 · WR 85.7%

Entry 0¢·21 shares

+$21INV $0 · WR 85.9%

Showing top 10 of 11

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