Politics444 days left
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$62.4K
2,157 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 482 traders
Maduro Prison Time?
5 MARKETS · $913.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time
56¢−16¢$538.9K71/108Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time−16¢56¢
$538.9K71/108
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison
6¢+21¢$120.3K27/73Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison+21¢6¢
$120.3K27/73
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison←
4¢+25¢$62.4K24/59Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison←+25¢4¢
$62.4K24/59
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs59 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $309 is directional: YES $155·NO $154YES Team
Total Invested
$625
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$463(-74.1%)
Whales
24
M
mazzaccone🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·200.9 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$181
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $181 · WR 57.7%
P
Pristine-Supporter🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·181.8 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$162
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $162 · WR 61.5%
I
ImJustKen🥉hedged
Entry 8¢·972 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $80 · WR 61.2%
P
paddaa
Entry 8¢·732.4 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $61 · WR 61.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 15¢·319.4 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $47 · WR 66.8%
E
eightu
Entry 8¢·270 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $21 · WR 66.7%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 6¢·200 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $12 · WR 60.8%
C
Cool-Everyone
Entry 16¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 64.1%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 3¢·107.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 56.8%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 17¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.3K(+55.2%)
Whales
59
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 89¢·2,033.4 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $1.8K · WR 57.7%
I
ImJustKen🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·1,261.7 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $1.1K · WR 61.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 68¢·731.9 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $500 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 59¢·370 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $219 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 89¢·240.8 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $214 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 60¢·332 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $199 · WR 72.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·338 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $178 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·329.8 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $165 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·300 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $150 · WR 89.0%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 8¢·1,284.6 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1136
+$1136INV $102 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 59
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