Politics453 days left
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$62.3K
2,128 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 481 traders
Maduro Prison Time?
5 MARKETS · $903.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time
62¢−24¢$534.7K69/113Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time−24¢62¢
$534.7K69/113
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison
7¢+21¢$116.1K27/71Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison+21¢7¢
$116.1K27/71
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison←
4¢+25¢$62.3K24/59Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison←+25¢4¢
$62.3K24/59
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs59 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%
+4 new YES$8+2 new NO$65
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $312 is directional: YES $158·NO $154YES Team
Total Invested
$628
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$485(-77.3%)
Whales
24
M
mazzaccone🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·200.9 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$181
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $181 · WR 58.2%
P
Pristine-Supporter🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·181.8 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$162
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $162 · WR 61.5%
I
ImJustKen🥉hedged
Entry 8¢·972 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $80 · WR 61.3%
P
paddaa
Entry 8¢·732.4 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $61 · WR 61.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 15¢·319.4 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $47 · WR 67.0%
E
eightu
Entry 8¢·270 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $21 · WR 66.7%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 7¢·250 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $18 · WR 60.8%
C
Cool-Everyone
Entry 16¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 63.2%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 17¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.3%
N
Nebulosity
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.3K(+54.9%)
Whales
59
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 89¢·2,033.4 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $1.8K · WR 57.8%
I
ImJustKen🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·1,261.7 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $1.1K · WR 61.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 68¢·731.9 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $500 · WR 87.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 56¢·526.2 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$214
+$214INV $293 · WR 87.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 59¢·370 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $219 · WR 88.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 89¢·240.8 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $214 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 92¢·212.1 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $196 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·338 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $178 · WR 87.6%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·329.8 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $165 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·300 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $150 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 59
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