PoliticsResolved
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.15M
34,307 trades
Smart Whales
894
of 5,554 traders
Smart Money Consensus
518 YESvs376 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.8K is directional: YES $3.8K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$146.9K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$67.7K(-46.1%)
Whales
518
H
HongKongMenace🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·22,845.1 shares·also $932 on NO
Invested
$23.6K
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-23576
$-23576INV $23.6K · WR 84.2%
N
NotLucky.🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·17,269.3 shares·also $921 on NO
Invested
$14.7K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-14704
$-14704INV $14.7K · WR 56.9%
S
scottorhino🥉hedged
Entry 100¢·13,811.5 shares·also $502 on NO
Invested
$13.9K
Win Rate
97.5%
Position P&L
$-13858
$-13858INV $13.9K · WR 97.5%
D
diadjaid
Entry 67¢·15,672.8 shares
Invested
$10.5K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-10482
$-10482INV $10.5K · WR 55.4%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 5¢·32,150.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1604
$-1604INV $1.6K · WR 60.2%
S
sciuboi
Entry 10¢·13,426 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-1321
$-1321INV $1.3K · WR 71.5%
M
meropi◆Proven
Entry 8¢·11,755.2 shares
Invested
$992
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-992
$-992INV $992 · WR 91.7%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 2¢·44,540.8 shares
Invested
$837
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-837
$-837INV $837 · WR 81.6%
A
apmthedged
Entry 2¢·15,216.9 shares·also $8.4K on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-263
$-263INV $263 · WR 74.0%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 1¢·15,834.8 shares·also $15.3K on NO
Invested
$101
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $101 · WR 74.2%
Showing top 10 of 518
NO Team
Total Invested
$324.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$266.9K(+82.3%)
Whales
376
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 42¢·186,158.8 shares
Invested
$78.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$107229
+$107229INV $78.9K · WR 85.8%
S
Siziriv◆Proven🥈
Entry 38¢·78,863.4 shares
Invested
$30.2K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$48702
+$48702INV $30.2K · WR 89.2%
R
Robust-Exhaust🥉
Entry 98¢·21,999.9 shares
Invested
$21.6K
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$388
+$388INV $21.6K · WR 84.0%
R
rated
Entry 58¢·33,587.4 shares
Invested
$19.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13950
+$13950INV $19.6K · WR 87.7%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 100¢·15,777 shares
Invested
$15.8K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $15.8K · WR 56.0%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 97¢·15,834.8 shares·also $101 on YES
Invested
$15.3K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$530
+$530INV $15.3K · WR 74.2%
J
JoeBlack01hedged
Entry 94¢·10,479.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$9.9K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$591
+$591INV $9.9K · WR 60.0%
A
apmthedged
Entry 55¢·15,216.9 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$6853
+$6853INV $8.4K · WR 74.0%
S
scottilicious
Entry 55¢·9,126.4 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$4099
+$4099INV $5.0K · WR 85.4%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 33¢·14,536.9 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$9727
+$9727INV $4.8K · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 376
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