Resolved
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$34.3K
677 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 167 traders
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs33 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $68 is directional: YES $16·NO $52YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+77.8%)
Whales
30
C
Car🥇
Entry 95¢·1,973.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $1.9K · WR 64.9%
C
catalanpaths🥈hedged
Entry 49¢·3,254.4 shares·also $520 on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1667
+$1667INV $1.6K · WR 66.4%
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·2,061.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$1031
+$1031INV $1.0K · WR 62.0%
Q
QR1
Entry 127¢·482.1 shares
Invested
$614
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $614 · WR 62.9%
M
moonlight2020
Entry 15¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1700
+$1700INV $300 · WR 68.2%
P
pagliacci4
Entry 120¢·211.1 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $254 · WR 86.1%
P
polIRLhedged
Entry 81¢·156.8 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$127
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $127 · WR 66.1%
W
wert4
Entry 46¢·256.6 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $119 · WR 65.1%
N
NellyDora
Entry 95¢·100.2 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $95 · WR 55.5%
B
biggfishh
Entry 17¢·546.6 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$453
+$453INV $93 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-74.8%)
Whales
33
C
catalanpaths🥇hedged
Entry 16¢·3,297.4 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$520
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-520
$-520INV $520 · WR 66.4%
A
Anjun🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·395.8 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$240
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-240
$-240INV $240 · WR 58.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 78¢·149.4 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $116 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 48¢·203.6 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 87.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 49¢·146.9 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 75.8%
P
polIRLhedged
Entry 45¢·156.8 shares·also $127 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $71 · WR 66.1%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 33¢·207 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 85.8%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 87¢·60 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $52 · WR 69.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 21¢·155 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 89.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 15¢·157.1 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 33
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