YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$15.7K
206 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 77 traders
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
30 MARKETS · $141.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢+21¢$6.2K7/18Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+21¢7¢
$6.2K7/18
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
71¢−47¢$77.0K8/25Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−47¢71¢
$77.0K8/25
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
14¢+11¢$15.7K6/18Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←+11¢14¢
$15.7K6/18
Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢+18¢$5.0K4/15Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+18¢3¢
$5.0K4/15
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢+15¢$5.4K3/15Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+15¢2¢
$5.4K3/15
Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢+35¢$5.2K8/13Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+35¢3¢
$5.2K8/13
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+24¢$3.1K4/13Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+24¢0¢
$3.1K4/13
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+32¢$5.6K6/12Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+32¢1¢
$5.6K6/12
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+80¢$504/1Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+80¢0¢
$504/1
Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+14¢$2.5K2/12Will Erling Haaland finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+14¢0¢
$2.5K2/12
Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+8¢$1.7K1/11Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+8¢0¢
$1.7K1/11
Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+25¢$4.8K5/15Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+25¢0¢
$4.8K5/15
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+7¢$2.0K1/13Will Vinícius Júnior finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+7¢0¢
$2.0K1/13
Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+8¢$1.8K1/11Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+8¢0¢
$1.8K1/11
Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+50¢$2.1K4/4Will Vitinha finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢
$2.1K4/4
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+80¢$504/1Will Achraf Hakimi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+80¢0¢
$504/1
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+80¢$504/1Will Bruno Fernandes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+80¢0¢
$504/1
Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$504/0Will Luis Diaz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$504/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+8¢$2.0K1/11Will Lautaro Martinez finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+8¢0¢
$2.0K1/11
Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+40¢$502/3Will Marc Cucurella finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+40¢0¢
$502/3
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+50¢$603/3Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢
$603/3
Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$04/0Will Sadio Mané finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$04/0
Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+50¢$503/3Will Marquinhos finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢
$503/3
Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$504/2Will Nuno Mendes finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$504/2
Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+80¢$504/1Will João Neves finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+80¢0¢
$504/1
Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$504/2Will Willian Pacho finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$504/2
Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+40¢$502/3Will Julián Quiñones finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+40¢0¢
$502/3
Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$504/2Will William Saliba finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$504/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$1.4K+26 new NO$3.6K
$357 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $508 is directional: YES $508·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$508
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$54(+10.6%)
Whales
5
U
Umaroth🥇
Entry 15¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $225 · WR 60.7%
S
sciuboi🥈
Entry 15¢·910 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $140 · WR 72.2%
H
Harmful-Knickers🥉
Entry 18¢·691.5 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $121 · WR 57.2%
A
aliiz
Entry 16¢·127 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $21 · WR 65.2%
E
elcesianomejorado
Entry 18¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$385(+6.5%)
Whales
18
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 83¢·3,133.4 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $2.6K · WR 69.5%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 84¢·2,641.5 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $2.2K · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 81¢·419.1 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $342 · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 52¢·440.8 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $228 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 80¢·166.5 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $133 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 76¢·115.4 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $88 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 83¢·80 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $66 · WR 89.3%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 84¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $42 · WR 84.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 82¢·50 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $41 · WR 79.6%
M
merod
Entry 83¢·32 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 84.1%
Showing top 10 of 18
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