EconomicsResolved
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$993.3K
1,174 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 485 traders
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs59 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $33 is directional: YES $33·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.2K(-93.4%)
Whales
30
.
.ethguy🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·3,500 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-3495
$-3495INV $3.5K · WR 60.7%
U
upont🥈hedged
Entry 106¢·2,891.8 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-3068
$-3068INV $3.1K · WR 90.8%
S
studmuffin6969🥉hedged
Entry 26¢·2,007.6 shares·also $543 on NO
Invested
$530
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-529
$-529INV $530 · WR 60.0%
H
hitjnn214
Entry 12¢·2,952.8 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $354 · WR 65.8%
1
11122
Entry 2¢·14,946.8 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-312
$-312INV $319 · WR 60.6%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 3¢·7,697.5 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $194 · WR 72.8%
S
scouthedged
Entry 0¢·47,507.2 shares·also $249.7K on NO
Invested
$159
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $159 · WR 92.0%
K
kukubaja◆Proven
Entry 20¢·300 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $59 · WR 82.6%
C
classifiedhedged
Entry 0¢·11,968.5 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$36
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $36 · WR 82.7%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 13¢·250 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$479.3K
Avg Win Rate
88.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$138.0K(+28.8%)
Whales
59
S
scout🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·249,905.9 shares·also $159 on YES
Invested
$249.7K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $249.7K · WR 92.0%
T
thegreengem🥈
Entry 67¢·293,074.3 shares
Invested
$194.9K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$98005
+$98005INV $194.9K · WR 87.1%
B
bosshog◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·25,000 shares
Invested
$24.9K
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $24.9K · WR 70.9%
C
classifiedhedged
Entry 100¢·1,901.9 shares·also $36 on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1.9K · WR 82.7%
P
polybettor
Entry 99¢·1,200.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.2K · WR 92.5%
U
uponthedged
Entry 5¢·21,320.7 shares·also $3.1K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$20146
+$20146INV $1.2K · WR 90.8%
B
Bertapotamous◆Proven
Entry 25¢·4,287.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$3219
+$3219INV $1.1K · WR 75.4%
A
Ahpo
Entry 100¢·764 shares
Invested
$762
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $762 · WR 92.2%
V
vinibiot
Entry 99¢·720 shares
Invested
$714
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $714 · WR 78.4%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 80¢·674.3 shares·also $530 on YES
Invested
$543
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $543 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 59
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