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Geopolitics19 days left

Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$3.8K
249 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 72 traders

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

3 MARKETS · $24.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs4 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$449+8 new NO$582
$23 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $655 is directional: YES $613·NO $42
YES Team
Total Invested
$659
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$160(+24.3%)
Whales
11
B
BAO95889🥇
Entry 73¢·459.1 shares
$-67INV $333 · WR 57.2%
M
meagainsttheworldProven🥈
Entry 49¢·303.1 shares
+$45INV $149 · WR 64.8%
P
pppooooolllmmmk🥉hedged
Entry 22¢·206 shares·also $71 on NO
+$89INV $45 · WR 76.2%
M
Mahnic
Entry 31¢·136.6 shares
+$36INV $43 · WR 60.5%
M
melonmanmProven
Entry 27¢·156.7 shares
+$58INV $43 · WR 69.6%
B
0xb46cf1de...
Entry 69¢·20 shares
$-2INV $14 · WR 58.6%
P
prognozu
Entry 66¢·17.6 shares
$-1INV $12 · WR 85.4%
M
Maru.lucky.nala.lenu
Entry 49¢·20 shares
+$2INV $10 · WR 56.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 81¢·11.1 shares
$-3INV $9 · WR 68.4%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 43¢·3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: Iran target an Arab country by October…