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Geopolitics20 days left

Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$2.7K
200 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 55 traders

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

3 MARKETS · $20.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs5 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$8+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $560 is directional: YES $495·NO $65
YES Team
Total Invested
$540
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$216(+40.1%)
Whales
7
B
BAO95889🥇
Entry 77¢·409.1 shares
+$5INV $314 · WR 57.2%
M
meagainsttheworldProven🥈
Entry 49¢·303.1 shares
+$88INV $149 · WR 64.8%
P
pppooooolllmmmk🥉hedged
Entry 22¢·206 shares·also $71 on NO
+$116INV $45 · WR 76.2%
P
prognozu
Entry 66¢·17.6 shares
+$2INV $12 · WR 85.4%
M
Maru.lucky.nala.lenu
Entry 49¢·20 shares
+$6INV $10 · WR 56.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 81¢·11.1 shares
$-0INV $9 · WR 68.4%
A
And-Gangsta
Entry 82¢·2.4 shares
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 58% YES: Iran target an Arab country by October…