GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$22.3K
454 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 176 traders
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs6 NO
82%18%
82% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$149(+1.9%)
Whales
27
C
cashy◆Proven🥇
Entry 98¢·3,096.4 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $3.0K · WR 72.3%
S
Sonix🥈
Entry 100¢·2,732 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2.7K · WR 73.6%
F
Fumbling-Oldie🥉
Entry 96¢·726.5 shares
Invested
$699
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $699 · WR 76.9%
W
Witty-Surprise
Entry 96¢·530.2 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $510 · WR 82.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 91¢·400 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$362
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $362 · WR 57.7%
D
0xd9c58197...
Entry 100¢·272.7 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $272 · WR 80.6%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 93¢·55 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$51
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $51 · WR 56.3%
V
VortexInfernal
Entry 99¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 73.8%
2
0x28e72bf1...
Entry 98¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 62.6%
Q
qcp3
Entry 99¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$60(-100.0%)
Whales
6
P
PrimePenguin◆Proven🥇
Entry 11¢·200 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 59.5%
B
Bikesarethebest🥈hedged
Entry 6¢·301 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 56.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 4¢·400 shares·also $362 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 57.7%
T
Te0n2
Entry 3¢·100 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 66.9%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 2¢·59 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
M
MiniTiger
Entry 0¢·215.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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