GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$25.8K
324 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 143 traders
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs5 NO
83%17%
83% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$9.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$151(+1.6%)
Whales
24
C
CaptainCoinflip🥇
Entry 100¢·4,310.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4.3K · WR 61.6%
C
cashy◆Proven🥈
Entry 98¢·2,631.6 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $2.6K · WR 72.3%
F
Fumbling-Oldie🥉
Entry 97¢·1,232.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $1.2K · WR 76.9%
W
Witty-Surprise
Entry 96¢·626 shares
Invested
$599
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $599 · WR 82.1%
J
JoshuaTree
Entry 96¢·571.8 shares
Invested
$552
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $552 · WR 57.9%
I
IceWindL
Entry 99¢·107.7 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $107 · WR 60.6%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 93¢·110.8 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$103
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $103 · WR 59.5%
D
delta-fox
Entry 99¢·77 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $76 · WR 56.9%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 93¢·60.7 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $56 · WR 56.3%
Y
yield.fi
Entry 95¢·49.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $47 · WR 62.0%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$43
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-100.0%)
Whales
5
P
PrimePenguin🥇hedged
Entry 8¢·299.2 shares·also $103 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 59.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 1¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 57.7%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 4¢·100 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 66.9%
B
Burdensome-Accusation
Entry 5¢·65 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.8%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 0¢·40 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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