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Sports71 days left

Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$11.4K
268 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 95 traders · 2 on both sides

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

30 MARKETS · $153.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs24 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$696+27 new NO$3.8K
$172 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $460 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $373·NO $81
YES Team
Total Invested
$382
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$468(+122.3%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 3¢·5,624.1 shares
+$477INV $169 · WR 72.1%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 12¢·761.2 shares
$-5INV $93 · WR 65.1%
T
thekleenex🥉
Entry 15¢·331.9 shares
$-13INV $51 · WR 62.1%
B
BAO95889
Entry 17¢·160 shares
$-9INV $28 · WR 58.1%
A
addeg
Entry 16¢·100 shares
$-5INV $16 · WR 59.7%
P
probabilityProven
Entry 15¢·90 shares
$-3INV $14 · WR 59.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 13¢·49.9 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 69.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 2¢·97.2 shares
+$9INV $2 · WR 83.4%
D
donthackmehedged
Entry 2¢·76 shares·also $26 on NO
+$7INV $1 · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 1¢·101.3 shares·also $56 on NO
+$10INV $1 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026…