GeopoliticsResolved
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$22.0K
231 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 125 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
2 MARKETS · $22.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs22 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $575 is directional: YES $0·NO $575YES Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$130(-100.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
87.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$108(+3.5%)
Whales
22
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 99¢·1,850 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $1.8K · WR 88.8%
W
wish-🥈
Entry 99¢·460 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $453 · WR 84.0%
S
SebasGimV🥉
Entry 93¢·264.5 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $245 · WR 93.8%
W
Wowiwow◆Proven
Entry 95¢·144 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $137 · WR 83.9%
R
randomWalkingShrimp◆Proven
Entry 98¢·117.6 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $115 · WR 77.0%
T
timoha91
Entry 97¢·103.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $100 · WR 88.9%
C
ClarksonStreet
Entry 100¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $60 · WR 89.3%
E
EconomistOx
Entry 98¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 86.1%
F
0xf32417a3...
Entry 99¢·30.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 82.3%
D
Daring-Mineshaft
Entry 98¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 85.5%
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