Polymarket wallet 0x4d0e…4b51

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4d0e…4b51 has made 1,161 trades on Polymarket across 354 markets, $3,342 in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and sports (31%). On 307 resolved markets the win rate is 73.9%, lifetime P&L -$9. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No · $10 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $10 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No · $10 · 72¢ → 72¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes · $9 · 91¢ → 82¢
• Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No · $8 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $6 · 36¢ → 42¢
• Ravens vs. BrownsYes · $6 · 58¢ → 67¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes · $5 · 34¢ → 37¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes · $5 · 39¢ → 40¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?No · $5 · 39¢ → 40¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Dominic Bouffard win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes · -$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes · +$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?No · +$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$11 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.