Politics9 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$306.4K
2,020 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 195 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $1.80M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs60 NO
95%
95% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$4.6K+48 new NO$56.2K
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19.8K is directional: YES $118·NO $19.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$118
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$86(-72.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$78.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$77.6K(+98.8%)
Whales
60
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 47¢·74,858.3 shares
Invested
$34.9K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$38001
+$38001INV $34.9K · WR 72.1%
M
mazan🥈
Entry 97¢·10,267.7 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10.0K · WR 92.3%
F
Flipadelphia🥉
Entry 97¢·7,525 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $7.3K · WR 56.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 23¢·18,140.7 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$13579
+$13579INV $4.1K · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·6,029 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2855
+$2855INV $3.0K · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·5,054.3 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2347
+$2347INV $2.6K · WR 85.9%
Z
zerone777
Entry 50¢·3,369 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1595
+$1595INV $1.7K · WR 87.4%
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Entry 97¢·1,661.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.6K · WR 69.7%
A
akroll
Entry 52¢·2,821.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1280
+$1280INV $1.5K · WR 87.7%
L
Likaseent
Entry 43¢·2,851.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$1546
+$1546INV $1.2K · WR 80.2%
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